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Friday, June 29, 2012

Is this market setting up for another summer sell off ?

For the week Dow is up 249 point (1.89%), S&P500 is up 27 point (2.0%), and Nasdaq is up 43 point (1.47%). Since June 4th, Dow is up 721 point (5.95%), S&P500 is up 52.81 point (4.13%), and Nasdaq is up 102 point (3.47%).


Dow Summer sell off
The chart of Dow looks similar to previous year and it seems its setting  up for yet another  sell off

Spx summer sell off 2012
S&P500

Dow unusual volume
Dow unusual volume activity

TIME (ET)REPORTPERIODACTUALPREVIOUS
SUNDAY, JULY 1
7:50 p.m.Japan tankan for large manufacturersQ25
China HSBC manufacturing PMI48.4
MONDAY, JULY 2
3 a.m.Turkey GDPQ15.2%
4:30 a.m.U.K. manufacturing PMIJun.45.9%
TUESDAY, JULY 3
12:30 a.m.Reserve Bank of Australia decision3.5%
8 a.m.Brazil industrial productionMay-0.2%
WEDNESDAY, JULY 4
4:30 a.m.U.K. services PMIJun.53.3%
THURSDAY, JULY 5
6 a.m.Bank Negara Malaysia decision3%
7 a.m.Bank of England rate decision0.5%
7 a.m.Bank of England asset-buy targetGBP325 bln
7:45 a.m.European Central Bank decision1%
8:30 a.m.ECB press conference
FRIDAY, JULY 6
8 a.m.Brazil inflation IPCAJun0.36%



NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)REPORTPERIODACTUALFORECASTPREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 2
8:55 amMarkit PMIJune--52.9
10 amISMJune51.5%53.5%
10 amConstruction spendingMay0.1%0.3%
TUESDAY, JULY 3
10 amFactory ordersMay0.2%-0.6%
TBAMotor vehicle salesJune13.8 mln13.8 mln
WEDNESDAY, JULY 4
None scheduled
Independence Day
THURSDAY, JULY 5
8:15 amADP employmentJune--133,000
8:30 amWeekly jobless claims6-30387,000386,000
10 amISM nonmanufacturingJune52.8%53.7%
FRIDAY, JULY 6
8:30 amNonfarm payrollsJune100,00069,000
8:30 amUnemployment rateJune8.2%8.2%

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